The “hard Brexit” cadre of the Conservative Party has massively overplayed its hand. Refusing to support Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit withdrawal deal with the European Union, they have enabled ...

Anxiety about the future course of the United Kingdom's negotiations with the European Union (EU) has surged following the surprising outcome of the parliamentary elections last Thursday, in which ...

The Brexit journey remains fraught with potential stumbling blocks, but a new set of political markers offers hope that a thread-the-needle way forward is possible. As a result, our new base case is a ...

The saga of Brexit negotiations, Prime Minister Theresa May’s agony, and President Donald Trump’s clumsy and destructive interventions changes daily. But the main focus of this blog is the ...

Despite substantial uncertainty surrounding the 12 December UK election, GeoQuant maintains its longstanding call that a soft (planned) Brexit is likely, as reflected in relatively low Institutional ...

Jeremy Corbyn writes to Theresa May offering to back a softer Brexit deal. His new five tests for backing Brexit could all be met by the prime minister. However, she is reluctant to rely on Labour ...

"Brexit means Brexit", Theresa May used to be fond of saying. As the phrase suggests, the UK is on course to leave the European Union, but how this will happen is still highly uncertain - even more so ...

President Trump said he thinks Boris Johnson would make a great prime minister, and Britain's trade relationship with the U.S. could come to an end if British Prime Minister Theresa May follows ...

The UK’s EU election results gave Remain sentiment a clear victory (40.4%) over hard Brexit advocates (34.9%), despite the Brexit Party’s plurality win. While this outcome raises prospects for ...

The percentage of people who believe the decision to leave the European Union was "wrong" now has an 8-11 percentage point lead over those who still want Brexit. The likelihood of the UK staging a ...

LONDON — Her cabinet is split and her party is at war, but Britain’s prime minister, Theresa May, recently found time to get out and about, and says she heard a clear message from a weary public.