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Mathematician Claude Shannon is widely regarded as a foundation... | Filo
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Claude Shannon: Father of the Information Age
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VIDEO: Claude Shannon - Father of the Information Age
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Nassim Taleb at Cambridge explaining why conventional statistics fails on extreme events - the same blind spot every Wall Street PhD trips onHe spent 40 years extending the work of Claude Shannon, John Kelly, and Ed Thorp into modern marketsThe article above is that exact same framework, applied to Polymarket - measuring edge in bits before you place a single trade, detecting insiders before the news breaksSame math that gave Shannon 28% a year for 30 years. Now running on prediction markets ↓
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x.comIndu Tripathi
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My Polymarket bot was profitableBut I kept losing to one thing I couldn't see.Someone always knew before me.Political markets. Price sitting at 0.52 for 3 days. Then in 15 minutes - snaps to 0.71. Huge wallet. No news. I'm already on the wrong side.It happened 6 times in one month. Cost me $4,200.Then I found a 77-year-old formula that explained exactly what was happening.Claude Shannon. MIT professor. Invented the math behind every ZIP file, every modem, every JPEG on Earth. In 1986, Barron's r
12.9K views1 week ago
x.comTrackmind
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一个 Polymarket 钱包，30 天赚了 $555,000它跑的不是玄学指标而是 Claude Shannon 1948 年的信息论，用在 crypto markets 上33,795 笔交易全部集中在 BTC / ETH / SOL / XRP 的 binary up/down 市场时间窗口是 5-min 和 hourly它实际做的事情很简单：每个市场都有两个数字市场价格 q：crowd 认为的概率模型概率 p̂：数据给出的概率bot 计算两者之间的 KL-divergence也就是 Shannon 当年用来衡量电话信号信息量的公式：D_KL(P ∥ Q) = Σ p(x) · log₂[ p(x) / q(x) ]最后得到一个数字：bot 比市场多知道多少 bits 的信息这个数字，就是 edge规则也很直接：KL > 0.10 bits → 进场KL > 0.30 bits → 重新检查计算，因为这种 edge 理论上不该轻易存在仓位则按 bits 通过 Kelly 放大或缩小例子：BTC Down @ 58.9¢2,999 shareshigh convictionETH
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